No rest for the weary

Ivan has beat up Grenada, and now has its sights set on Jamaica and Cuba. Don’t take the boards off the windows yet. Florida may be next.

From today’s 11AM discussion:

A RIDGE OVER THE BAHAMAS A LITTLE STRONGER THAN ANTICIPATED…WILL BRING THE HURRICANE TOWARD THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AS INDICATED BY THE UK…CANADIAN AND NOGAPS GLOBAL MODELS. A WEAKER RIDGE THAN ANTICIPATED COULD RESULT ON A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE BAHAMAS AND NEARBY THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS INDICATED BY THE GFS. THE 4-5 DAY OFFICIAL FORECAST…WHICH IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN…CALLS FOR A SOLUTION IN BETWEEN…BRINGING THE HURRICANE OVER WEST/CENTRAL CUBA INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THEN FLORIDA.