There’s a late-comer to the party named Olga which probably won’t be sticking around for very long.
OLGA CURRENTLY HAS GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE…WITH OUTFLOW AND CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE SUPPRESSED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW. IN THE SHORT-TERM…THIS PATTERN IS FAVORABLE FOR SOME STRENGTHENING…AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR MODEST INTENSIFICATION BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON TUESDAY. AFTER THAT…THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. THAT…COMBINED WITH THE LIKELY DISRUPTION OF THE CIRCULATION BY PASSAGE OVER HISPANIOLA…SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING.
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Olga? Gone. Olga lost all its convection overnight and has been downgraded to a Tropical Depression. The National Hurricane Center issued the last warning on Olga overnight. Olga fell apart as it passed Guantanamo Bay (from the Spanish: “garden spot with land mines…”) Cuba and the hills disrupted Olga’s surface circulation. The remnants of Olga will continue to drift westward for the next 3-4 days.
From the Fingers Crossed Forecast Center: Some models are showing the remnants of Olga getting tangled up in cold front trailing a monster Nor’easter that will pummel New England over the weekend. The remnants of Olga could enhance the chance for rain locally on Saturday, but I wouldn’t start rounding up the animals two by two just yet… .