The forecast track for Ernesto (downgraded back to a tropical storm last night) has shifted to the east some more and has it going through Florida and then up the coast. The 5 day forecast puts it pretty much right off the Charleston coast Friday night and early Saturday morning. Should get windy and rainy well before then though.
Time to start collecting all the loose things in the yard and putting them somewhere safe.
First hurricane of the year
Ernesto underwent a lot of changes overnight and was upgraded to hurricane status early this morning. The forecast track also shifted to the north quite a bit putting Cuba squarely in Ernesto’s sights and then the Florida Keys by mid week. The longer 5 day forecast even has it curving around and going over north central Florida by the end of the week. If that track holds up, Ernesto could be bruhsing past the Georgia and SC coasts by this time next week.
Ernesto in the house!
TS Ernesto looks to be the first storm of the year to keep a sharp eye on as it makes a beeline for Jamaica and then into the Gulf by the middle of next week.
Getting to the peak of storm season
Starting to head into the peak period for hurricane season now. There’s TS Debby brewing out in the eastern Atlantic.
Sounds like development of Debby won’t be very fast, and the forecast track seems have it staying out in the ocean and not coming close to the US. Still lots of time for that to change though. Plenty of storm season left to keep watch on too.
From today’s 5 AM discussion:
DEBBY WILL BE ENCOUNTERING DRIER MID-LEVEL AIR AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO…WHICH SHOULD KEEP INTENSIFICATION SLOW IN THE NEAR TERM. THEREAFTER… THE CYCLONE WILL BE PASSING OVER WARMER SSTS…BUT SHEAR IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WHICH MAKES FOR A DIFFICULT INTENSITY PREDICTION. THE NHC FORECAST BRINGS DEBBY TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 4 DAYS…WHICH IS VERY CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL AND SHIPS…BUT IS LEVELED OFF IN DEFERENCE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF INCREASING SHEAR.
Curtain call for SG-1
From Slashdot and SciFi comes news that SG-1 isn’t coming back for an 11th season. I guess TPTB have decided SG-1 has run it’s course. At least SG: Atlantis will be back.
sigh That’s too bad. Another good TV show bites the dust. I’m looking forward to seeing how they wrap everything up though.