With Irene forecast to spin harmlessly away back into the Atlantic, TD 10 has popped up to take Irene’s place. This is another one that looks like will take its time developing. If it does get stronger, TD 10 would become Jose.
Irene still has life
Looks like Irene has managed to get back into warmer waters and more favourable conditions. After being downgraded back to a depression for a couple of days, it got back up to tropical storm status last night and is now headed on a track that takes it much closer to the US than a few days ago. May even become hurricane #3 by early next week.
Something I learned in high school
Way back in my prehistory, my 10th grade math teacher (and school vice-principal) threatened to kick me out of class because all I would do in her class was read a book. Usually not a math book either. This perturbed her mightily, so one day she took me aside to ask why I never paid attention during class while she was lecturing. I told her quite plainly it was because I already knew the stuff she was teaching and had already done the homework (usually I was doing the day’s assignment in class while she was teaching us about it).
So she decided to give me a test to challenge me. If I did well, I could spend my time in the library. It was a tough test, but I did very well on it. I told her I just wanted to stay in class and keep reading. She left me alone after that.
Anyway, a couple of years at graduation and being the vice-principal of the school, she gave one of the commencement addresses. There she gave everyone a valuable piece of advice that has stuck with me ever since.
A good speech has a beginning, an end and no middle
It’s something I keep in mind whenever I have to do any public speaking. Maybe if more people kept this in mind when writing speeches they would be less boring to listen to.
Wallace and Grommit!
I’m a huge fan of Wallace and Grommit so I’m really looking forward to the feature film coming out in a couple of months.
Of course the wife doesn’t understand why I enjoy them so much, but she did like Chicken Run so maybe I can get her to go see this one too.
Check Irene off the list
TD 9 got named Irene yesterday morning. May not stay a storm for much longer, but in any case looks to be curving back out into the Atlantic and shouldn’t be a bother to the US at all. With nothing else brewing out there at the moment, back to our regularly scheduled enjoyment of the weather.
From this morning’s 5 AM discussion:
IRENE IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR…AND THIS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR 36-48 HR. THIS SHOULD LIMIT STRENGTHENING EVEN THOUGH THE STORM WILL BE MOVING OVER WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. AFTER THAT TIME…THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS NEAR IRENE.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A GRADUAL DECREASE IN SHEAR THAT WILL ALLOW SOME STRENGTHENING THROUGH 72 HR. AFTER THAT…THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES IRENE OVER COOLER SSTS…WHICH SHOULD LIMIT STRENGTHENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THE SHIPS MODEL. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFDL IS AGAIN DISSIPATING IRENE IN LESS THAN 48 HR.
